I can’t believe he hasn’t already blogged about this, but on the weekend Sir Monkeypants won the $1 000 000 playing the online version of Deal Or No Deal at the NBC website. We are virtually rich!
We’d actually concluded that winning the million was practically impossible, and unlikely to ever happen on the show. To win you’d first have to have the million in your case, which is only a 1/26 chance. Then, you’d have to refuse all deals and get to the point where you open your case — unlikely, unless the one remaining case up there is also a huge value. For example, if there was $10 and the million left on the big board, and the offer was around $500 000, I think most of us would take that offer rather than risk ending up with just $10. Only if the remaining value on the board with the million was $500 000 or $750 000 would you consider risking the offer to look in the case, and when is that going to happen?
However, Sir Monkeypants proved us wrong this weekend with what we now just refer to as The Game. He got down to $400000, $500000, and the million, and the offer was over $600000, but he went for it. Then he eliminated the $500K case, and the offer dropped to just under $500K (which doesn’t seem to fit with the TV version, which usually splits the difference exactly once you are down to two cases — in general we find the online game to consistently lowball with the offers even more than the TV show does). So, with less than $100K at risk, he of course looked in his case, and voila! there was the million. We’re rolling in it!
It’s still quite unlikely to happen in real life because I doubt the TV show would make such a low final offer, in this rare case, and also, Sir Monkeypants is only reckless online when it isn’t real money. But still…The Game remains legend.